Belgium vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.9%
18.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1963 |
FRA
1 - 2
BEL
67%
17%
16%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1963 |
ESP
1 - 2
BEL
79%
13%
9%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1963 |
NED
1 - 1
BEL
57%
20%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1963 |
BEL
5 - 1
BRA
22%
22%
57%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
BEL
0 - 1
YUG
30%
23%
47%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1963 |
LUX
2 - 1
NED
48%
19%
34%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1963 |
NED
1 - 1
BEL
57%
20%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1963 |
NED
1 - 1
LUX
73%
14%
13%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1963 |
NED
1 - 0
BRA
22%
21%
57%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1963 |
NED
1 - 0
FRA
50%
21%
28%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |