Belgium vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
16.8%
18%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1956 |
BEL
1 - 3
SUI
69%
16%
15%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1955 |
BEL
2 - 1
FRA
54%
20%
26%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
NED
2 - 2
BEL
51%
20%
28%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1955 |
ROU
1 - 0
BEL
53%
20%
27%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1955 |
CSK
5 - 2
BEL
66%
17%
17%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1956 |
BRD
1 - 2
NED
73%
15%
12%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1955 |
PDS
1 - 2
NED
59%
18%
24%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1955 |
NED
3 - 0
NOR
60%
19%
21%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
NED
2 - 2
BEL
51%
20%
28%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1955 |
NED
4 - 1
SUI
53%
20%
27%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |