Belgium vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.8%
12.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
BEL
2 - 0
GER
42%
21%
37%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1954 |
ITA
4 - 1
BEL
76%
14%
11%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 1954 |
ENG
4 - 4
BEL
81%
11%
8%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1954 |
BEL
3 - 3
FRA
62%
18%
20%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1954 |
YUG
0 - 2
BEL
77%
13%
10%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1954 |
SUI
3 - 1
NED
66%
16%
18%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1954 |
SWE
6 - 1
NED
84%
9%
7%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
BEL
4 - 0
NED
69%
16%
16%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
NED
1 - 0
BEL
51%
20%
29%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
NOR
4 - 0
NED
65%
17%
18%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |