Belgium vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
5.8%
4-3
2.2%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.6%
17%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
17%
20.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1952 |
AUT
2 - 0
BEL
77%
13%
10%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1952 |
BEL
2 - 0
ITA
41%
22%
37%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1951 |
NED
6 - 7
BEL
65%
17%
19%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
BEL
1 - 8
AUT
41%
21%
38%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 1951 |
POR
1 - 1
BEL
50%
19%
31%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1951 |
NED
6 - 7
BEL
65%
17%
19%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1951 |
NED
4 - 4
FIN
84%
10%
6%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1951 |
NED
2 - 3
NOR
70%
15%
15%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
NED
5 - 4
BEL
62%
18%
21%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1950 |
FRA
5 - 2
NED
54%
19%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |