Belgium vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.7%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
18.9%
26.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1950 |
FRA
3 - 3
BEL
60%
18%
21%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1950 |
BEL
4 - 1
FRA
57%
19%
25%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1950 |
BEL
1 - 4
ENG
28%
20%
52%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1950 |
BEL
5 - 1
IRL
57%
19%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
BEL
2 - 0
NED
46%
20%
34%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1950 |
SUI
7 - 5
NED
53%
20%
27%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1950 |
FIN
4 - 1
NED
33%
20%
47%
|
75 | 50 | 25 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 1950 |
SWE
4 - 1
NED
81%
11%
9%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
BEL
2 - 0
NED
46%
20%
34%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
NED
0 - 1
DEN
59%
19%
22%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |