Belgium vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
17.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.4%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
20.4%
40.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1947 |
NED
2 - 1
BEL
76%
13%
11%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1946 |
BEL
2 - 2
NED
38%
21%
42%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1946 |
NED
6 - 3
BEL
74%
14%
12%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1946 |
BEL
7 - 0
LUX
68%
16%
16%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1946 |
SCO
2 - 2
BEL
74%
15%
11%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1947 |
NED
2 - 1
BEL
76%
13%
11%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1946 |
ENG
8 - 2
NED
74%
14%
12%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1946 |
BEL
2 - 2
NED
38%
21%
42%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1946 |
NED
6 - 3
BEL
74%
14%
12%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1946 |
LUX
2 - 6
NED
32%
21%
48%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | +1 |