Belgium vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21%
43.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1939 |
BEL
1 - 4
GER
33%
22%
46%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1938 |
FRA
3 - 1
BEL
58%
19%
24%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1938 |
BEL
2 - 2
YUG
59%
19%
22%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1938 |
ITA
6 - 1
BEL
80%
12%
9%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1938 |
SUI
0 - 3
BEL
63%
17%
20%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1939 |
NED
3 - 2
HUN
46%
20%
33%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1938 |
DEN
2 - 2
NED
60%
18%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1938 |
CSK
3 - 0
NED
59%
19%
23%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1938 |
NED
1 - 3
SCO
52%
21%
27%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1938 |
BEL
1 - 1
NED
35%
21%
44%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | -1 |