Belgium vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21%
43.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1938 |
LUX
2 - 3
BEL
48%
20%
32%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1938 |
NED
7 - 2
BEL
75%
14%
11%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1938 |
FRA
5 - 3
BEL
59%
19%
22%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 1937 |
ROU
2 - 1
BEL
72%
15%
14%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 1937 |
YUG
1 - 1
BEL
63%
17%
20%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1938 |
NED
7 - 2
BEL
75%
14%
11%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1937 |
NED
4 - 0
LUX
81%
11%
8%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1937 |
NED
2 - 3
FRA
72%
14%
13%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1937 |
NED
1 - 0
BEL
74%
14%
12%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1937 |
BEL
2 - 1
NED
38%
21%
42%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | -1 |