Belgium vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.6%
36.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1935 |
BEL
1 - 6
GER
35%
21%
44%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1935 |
BEL
1 - 1
FRA
59%
18%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1935 |
NED
4 - 2
BEL
70%
15%
15%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1934 |
GER
5 - 2
BEL
71%
15%
14%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1934 |
BEL
2 - 4
NED
46%
21%
34%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1935 |
NED
4 - 2
BEL
70%
15%
15%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1935 |
NED
2 - 3
GER
47%
21%
32%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1934 |
NED
2 - 4
HUN
47%
21%
33%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1934 |
SUI
2 - 4
NED
46%
21%
34%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1934 |
SUI
3 - 2
NED
40%
21%
39%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |