Belgium vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
29%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1931 |
NED
3 - 2
BEL
62%
19%
20%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1930 |
FRA
2 - 2
BEL
44%
22%
34%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1930 |
BEL
2 - 2
SWE
37%
22%
41%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1930 |
BEL
2 - 3
CSK
41%
23%
36%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 1930 |
PAR
1 - 0
BEL
49%
22%
30%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1931 |
NED
1 - 1
GER
53%
21%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1931 |
NED
3 - 2
BEL
62%
19%
20%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1930 |
SUI
6 - 3
NED
39%
22%
39%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 1930 |
HUN
6 - 2
NED
64%
18%
18%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1930 |
BEL
3 - 1
NED
51%
21%
28%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |