Belgium vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
29.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1927 |
BEL
2 - 3
CSK
50%
22%
28%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1926 |
BEL
2 - 2
FRA
69%
16%
15%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1926 |
BEL
3 - 5
ENG
46%
22%
32%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1926 |
NED
1 - 5
BEL
68%
17%
15%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1926 |
FRA
4 - 3
BEL
38%
23%
39%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1926 |
NED
2 - 3
GER
67%
17%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1926 |
DEN
4 - 1
NED
57%
20%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1926 |
NED
1 - 5
BEL
68%
17%
15%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1926 |
GER
4 - 2
NED
39%
24%
38%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1926 |
NED
5 - 0
SUI
70%
16%
14%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |