Belgium vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
31.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1926 |
BEL
0 - 2
HUN
51%
22%
27%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1925 |
BEL
3 - 4
AUT
53%
21%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1925 |
SUI
0 - 0
BEL
53%
21%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1925 |
HUN
1 - 3
BEL
69%
16%
15%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1925 |
NED
5 - 0
BEL
64%
18%
18%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1925 |
NED
4 - 2
DEN
60%
20%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1925 |
NED
5 - 0
BEL
64%
18%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1925 |
SUI
4 - 1
NED
43%
23%
34%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1925 |
NED
2 - 1
GER
70%
16%
14%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1925 |
BEL
0 - 1
NED
49%
22%
29%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |