Belgium vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
25.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1924 |
NED
1 - 1
BEL
63%
18%
19%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1924 |
FRA
2 - 0
BEL
34%
23%
43%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1923 |
BEL
2 - 2
ENG
49%
22%
29%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1923 |
NED
1 - 1
BEL
61%
19%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1923 |
ENG
6 - 1
BEL
57%
20%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1924 |
NED
0 - 1
GER
70%
16%
14%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1924 |
NED
1 - 1
BEL
63%
18%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1923 |
NED
4 - 1
SUI
74%
15%
12%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1923 |
GER
0 - 0
NED
39%
23%
38%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1923 |
NED
1 - 1
BEL
61%
19%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |