Belgium vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
25%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1922 |
FRA
2 - 1
BEL
42%
23%
35%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1921 |
ESP
2 - 0
BEL
55%
21%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1921 |
BEL
0 - 2
ENG
56%
20%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1921 |
BEL
1 - 1
NED
59%
19%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1921 |
BEL
2 - 3
ITA
74%
15%
11%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1921 |
FRA
0 - 5
NED
38%
23%
39%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1921 |
DEN
1 - 1
NED
62%
19%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1921 |
BEL
1 - 1
NED
59%
19%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1921 |
NED
2 - 2
ITA
75%
15%
11%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1921 |
NED
2 - 0
SUI
80%
12%
8%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |