Belgium vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.2%
22.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1921 |
BEL
2 - 3
ITA
74%
15%
11%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1921 |
BEL
3 - 1
FRA
76%
14%
11%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1920 |
BEL
2 - 0
CSK
67%
18%
16%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1920 |
BEL
3 - 0
NED
52%
21%
28%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1920 |
BEL
3 - 1
ESP
62%
19%
19%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1921 |
NED
2 - 2
ITA
75%
15%
11%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1921 |
NED
2 - 0
SUI
80%
12%
8%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1920 |
ESP
3 - 1
NED
47%
22%
31%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1920 |
BEL
3 - 0
NED
52%
21%
28%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1920 |
NED
5 - 4
SWE
73%
15%
12%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |