Belgium vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
24.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1912 |
BEL
9 - 2
SUI
73%
15%
12%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1912 |
FRA
1 - 1
BEL
38%
23%
39%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1911 |
BEL
7 - 1
FRA
79%
12%
9%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1911 |
BEL
2 - 1
GER
66%
17%
17%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1911 |
NED
3 - 1
BEL
69%
16%
15%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1911 |
NED
3 - 1
BEL
69%
16%
15%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1911 |
BEL
1 - 5
NED
56%
20%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1910 |
GER
1 - 2
NED
47%
22%
32%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1910 |
NED
4 - 2
GER
69%
16%
15%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1910 |
NED
7 - 0
BEL
62%
19%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |