Belgium vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.7%
20.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1907 |
NED
1 - 2
BEL
62%
19%
19%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1907 |
BEL
1 - 2
FRA
65%
18%
17%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1907 |
BEL
1 - 3
NED
66%
18%
17%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1906 |
NED
2 - 3
BEL
60%
20%
20%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1906 |
BEL
5 - 0
NED
60%
20%
21%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1907 |
ENG
12 - 2
NED
5%
16%
79%
|
76 | 23 | 53 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1907 |
NED
1 - 2
BEL
62%
19%
19%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1907 |
BEL
1 - 3
NED
66%
18%
17%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1907 |
NED
1 - 8
ENG
95%
4%
1%
|
76 | 20 | 56 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1906 |
NED
2 - 3
BEL
60%
20%
20%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |