Belgium vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
12.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1991 |
BEL
3 - 0
LUX
88%
9%
3%
|
88 | 36 | 52 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1991 |
ITA
0 - 0
BEL
67%
22%
11%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1990 |
WLS
3 - 1
BEL
39%
30%
30%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1990 |
BEL
0 - 2
DDR
52%
26%
22%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 1990 |
ENG
1 - 0
BEL
67%
21%
12%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1991 |
WLS
0 - 3
IRL
48%
30%
23%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1990 |
LUX
0 - 1
WLS
15%
24%
61%
|
85 | 36 | 49 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1990 |
WLS
3 - 1
BEL
39%
30%
30%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1990 |
DNK
1 - 0
WLS
71%
19%
10%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1990 |
WLS
1 - 0
CRI
52%
27%
21%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |