Belgium vs Gabon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.7%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
5.1%
5-0
8.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9.9%
4-0
13.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
15.9%
3-0
16.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.9%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.1%
6.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
6.7%
1.6%
Win probability
0.29
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.4%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1993 |
BEL
3 - 0
FRO
91%
7%
2%
|
89 | 60 | 29 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1993 |
WAL
2 - 0
BEL
34%
31%
35%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1993 |
CYP
0 - 3
BEL
21%
29%
50%
|
89 | 56 | 33 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1992 |
BEL
2 - 0
WAL
62%
24%
14%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1992 |
BEL
1 - 0
ROU
52%
26%
22%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1993 |
MAR
1 - 0
GAB
77%
17%
6%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1993 |
GAB
0 - 2
MLI
42%
28%
30%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1993 |
SEN
1 - 0
GAB
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1993 |
MOZ
1 - 1
GAB
46%
26%
29%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1992 |
GAB
3 - 2
SEN
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |