Belgium vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
24.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1983 |
BEL
2 - 1
DDR
46%
27%
27%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1983 |
DDR
1 - 2
BEL
67%
21%
12%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1982 |
BEL
3 - 2
SCT
54%
25%
21%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1982 |
BEL
3 - 0
CHE
73%
19%
9%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1982 |
BRD
0 - 0
BEL
84%
12%
4%
|
86 | 94 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1983 |
FRA
4 - 0
YUG
48%
26%
26%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1983 |
FRA
1 - 1
SUN
38%
28%
34%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1983 |
PRT
0 - 3
FRA
40%
28%
33%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1982 |
NLD
1 - 2
FRA
55%
24%
21%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1982 |
FRA
1 - 0
HUN
42%
27%
31%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |