Belgium vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
22.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1964 |
ENG
2 - 2
BEL
87%
8%
5%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1964 |
BEL
1 - 0
NED
63%
18%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1964 |
BEL
1 - 2
POR
67%
18%
16%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1964 |
SUI
2 - 0
BEL
49%
21%
30%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1964 |
BEL
0 - 0
NED
64%
18%
18%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1964 |
FRA
1 - 0
NOR
78%
13%
10%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1964 |
LUX
0 - 2
FRA
37%
21%
42%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1964 |
HUN
2 - 1
FRA
88%
8%
4%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1964 |
FRA
1 - 3
HUN
24%
21%
55%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1963 |
FRA
1 - 2
BEL
67%
17%
16%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |