Belgium vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
33.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
NED
9 - 1
BEL
66%
17%
17%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1959 |
AUT
4 - 2
BEL
78%
12%
9%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1959 |
BEL
0 - 2
AUT
47%
22%
32%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
NED
2 - 2
BEL
66%
17%
17%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1959 |
FRA
2 - 2
BEL
73%
15%
12%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1959 |
FRA
4 - 3
ESP
51%
21%
28%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1959 |
FRA
5 - 2
AUT
54%
20%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1959 |
SUI
1 - 2
FRA
46%
22%
33%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1959 |
FRA
1 - 0
LUX
79%
12%
10%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1959 |
FRA
5 - 3
POR
76%
14%
10%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |