Belgium vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.7%
26.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
NED
2 - 2
BEL
51%
20%
28%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1955 |
ROU
1 - 0
BEL
53%
20%
27%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1955 |
CSK
5 - 2
BEL
66%
17%
17%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1955 |
BEL
1 - 3
CSK
61%
19%
21%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1955 |
NED
1 - 0
BEL
46%
21%
33%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1955 |
FRA
1 - 1
YUG
47%
22%
32%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1955 |
SUN
2 - 2
FRA
31%
20%
49%
|
78 | 24 | 54 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1955 |
SUI
1 - 2
FRA
51%
20%
29%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1955 |
FRA
1 - 0
ENG
34%
21%
45%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1955 |
FRA
2 - 0
SWE
44%
21%
35%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |