Belgium vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.9%
20%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1954 |
YUG
0 - 2
BEL
77%
13%
10%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
BEL
4 - 0
NED
69%
16%
16%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
BEL
0 - 0
POR
64%
16%
19%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1953 |
SUI
2 - 2
BEL
56%
19%
25%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
NED
1 - 0
BEL
51%
20%
29%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
FRA
1 - 3
ITA
43%
23%
34%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1953 |
FRA
8 - 0
LUX
76%
13%
12%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1953 |
FRA
1 - 0
IRL
64%
17%
19%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1953 |
FRA
2 - 4
SUI
69%
16%
15%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
YUG
3 - 1
FRA
75%
13%
11%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |