Belgium vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
20%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.3%
19.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
BEL
4 - 2
NED
63%
17%
21%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1952 |
AUT
2 - 0
BEL
77%
13%
10%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1952 |
BEL
2 - 0
ITA
41%
22%
37%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1951 |
NED
6 - 7
BEL
65%
17%
19%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
BEL
1 - 8
AUT
41%
21%
38%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1952 |
FRA
3 - 0
POR
59%
18%
23%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1952 |
FRA
0 - 1
SWE
43%
21%
36%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1951 |
FRA
2 - 2
AUT
38%
21%
41%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
SUI
1 - 2
FRA
59%
18%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1951 |
ENG
2 - 2
FRA
83%
10%
7%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | +1 |