Belgium vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5.7%
4-3
2.1%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.6%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
16.8%
19.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1933 |
BEL
2 - 2
DEN
45%
22%
33%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1933 |
GER
8 - 1
BEL
69%
16%
15%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 1933 |
AUT
4 - 1
BEL
76%
14%
11%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 1933 |
POL
0 - 1
BEL
69%
16%
15%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1933 |
NED
1 - 2
BEL
65%
17%
18%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1933 |
ENG
4 - 1
FRA
77%
13%
11%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1933 |
CSK
4 - 0
FRA
75%
13%
12%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1933 |
FRA
1 - 1
WAL
60%
19%
21%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1933 |
FRA
1 - 0
ESP
37%
23%
41%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1933 |
FRA
3 - 0
BEL
48%
21%
31%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +2 |