Belgium vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.1%
12.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1930 |
BEL
3 - 1
NED
51%
21%
28%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1930 |
BEL
1 - 3
NED
53%
21%
27%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1930 |
NED
2 - 2
BEL
62%
19%
20%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1930 |
FRA
1 - 6
BEL
43%
22%
35%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1929 |
BEL
4 - 1
FRA
68%
16%
16%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1930 |
FRA
0 - 2
SCO
30%
23%
47%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1930 |
FRA
2 - 3
CSK
32%
24%
45%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1930 |
FRA
1 - 6
BEL
43%
22%
35%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1930 |
FRA
3 - 3
SUI
56%
20%
24%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1930 |
POR
2 - 0
FRA
66%
17%
17%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |