Belgium vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.3%
10.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1912 |
NED
4 - 3
BEL
70%
16%
15%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1912 |
BEL
1 - 2
NED
57%
19%
24%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1912 |
BEL
9 - 2
SUI
73%
15%
12%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1912 |
FRA
1 - 1
BEL
38%
23%
39%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1911 |
BEL
7 - 1
FRA
79%
12%
9%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1913 |
FRA
1 - 0
ITA
52%
22%
27%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1912 |
ITA
3 - 4
FRA
71%
16%
13%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1912 |
FRA
4 - 1
SUI
48%
22%
30%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1912 |
FRA
1 - 1
BEL
38%
23%
39%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1911 |
LUX
1 - 4
FRA
56%
20%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |