Belgium vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.2%
8.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1911 |
BEL
2 - 1
GER
66%
17%
17%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1911 |
NED
3 - 1
BEL
69%
16%
15%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1911 |
BEL
1 - 5
NED
56%
20%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1910 |
GER
0 - 3
BEL
55%
20%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1910 |
NED
7 - 0
BEL
62%
19%
20%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1911 |
SUI
5 - 2
FRA
71%
16%
14%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1911 |
FRA
2 - 2
ITA
44%
23%
33%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1911 |
FRA
0 - 3
HUN
48%
22%
31%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1910 |
ITA
6 - 2
FRA
73%
15%
12%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1910 |
FRA
0 - 4
BEL
44%
22%
34%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |