Belgium vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
12.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1909 |
NED
4 - 1
BEL
63%
18%
19%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1909 |
ENG
11 - 2
BEL
5%
15%
80%
|
76 | 15 | 61 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1909 |
BEL
1 - 4
NED
62%
18%
20%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1908 |
BEL
2 - 1
SWE
75%
14%
11%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1908 |
NED
1 - 3
BEL
63%
19%
19%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1908 |
DEN
17 - 1
FRA
64%
18%
18%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1908 |
DEN
9 - 0
FRA
58%
20%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -2 |
| 10 May. 1908 |
NED
4 - 1
FRA
62%
19%
19%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1908 |
FRA
1 - 2
BEL
60%
20%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1908 |
SUI
1 - 2
FRA
58%
20%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |