Belgium vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.9%
Win probability
3.51
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.7%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.9%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
9.8%
6.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1953 |
SWE
2 - 3
BEL
83%
10%
7%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1953 |
FIN
2 - 4
BEL
45%
20%
35%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1953 |
BEL
1 - 3
YUG
49%
21%
31%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
NED
0 - 2
BEL
57%
19%
25%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1953 |
ESP
3 - 1
BEL
74%
14%
12%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1953 |
FIN
1 - 4
NOR
49%
20%
31%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1953 |
SWE
4 - 0
FIN
90%
7%
4%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 1953 |
FIN
3 - 3
SWE
35%
21%
44%
|
55 | 84 | 29 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1953 |
FIN
2 - 4
BEL
45%
20%
35%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1952 |
FIN
2 - 1
DEN
43%
22%
36%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | +2 |