Belgium vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
22.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1922 |
BEL
4 - 0
NED
55%
20%
25%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1922 |
FRA
2 - 1
BEL
42%
23%
35%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1921 |
ESP
2 - 0
BEL
55%
21%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1921 |
BEL
0 - 2
ENG
56%
20%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1921 |
BEL
1 - 1
NED
59%
19%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1921 |
SWE
0 - 0
DEN
41%
23%
36%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1921 |
DEN
3 - 1
NOR
78%
13%
9%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1921 |
DEN
1 - 1
NED
62%
19%
19%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1920 |
SWE
0 - 2
DEN
50%
22%
28%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1920 |
ESP
1 - 0
DEN
46%
23%
31%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |