Belgium vs Cyprus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
7.2%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1995 |
BEL
1 - 0
USA
71%
19%
10%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1995 |
ESP
1 - 1
BEL
64%
22%
14%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1994 |
BEL
1 - 4
ESP
36%
28%
36%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1994 |
BEL
1 - 1
MKD
90%
8%
2%
|
90 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1994 |
DEN
3 - 1
BEL
56%
24%
20%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cyprus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1995 |
CYP
1 - 1
DEN
20%
30%
51%
|
60 | 91 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1995 |
CYP
3 - 3
SWE
14%
26%
60%
|
59 | 92 | 33 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1995 |
CYP
3 - 1
EST
62%
22%
17%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1995 |
CYP
0 - 2
NOR
18%
24%
59%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1995 |
CYP
2 - 3
GRC
21%
26%
53%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | -1 |