Belgium vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
23.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
BIH
2 - 1
BEL
26%
27%
47%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
BEL
2 - 4
BIH
72%
18%
10%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
BEL
2 - 0
SVN
70%
19%
10%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
LUX
1 - 1
BEL
12%
21%
68%
|
90 | 36 | 54 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2008 |
BEL
1 - 2
ESP
17%
24%
58%
|
90 | 100 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2009 |
JPN
4 - 0
CHI
49%
27%
24%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2009 |
CHI
0 - 0
URU
41%
26%
33%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2009 |
PER
1 - 3
CHI
36%
29%
36%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
RSA
0 - 2
CHI
27%
30%
44%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2009 |
HND
2 - 0
CHI
41%
29%
31%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | -1 |