Belgium vs Czechoslovakia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
35.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 1930 |
PAR
1 - 0
BEL
49%
22%
30%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1930 |
USA
3 - 0
BEL
58%
20%
22%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 1930 |
BEL
2 - 1
POR
58%
20%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1930 |
BEL
1 - 2
FRA
74%
14%
12%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1930 |
BEL
3 - 1
NED
51%
21%
28%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Czechoslovakia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1930 |
CSK
2 - 0
ESP
61%
20%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1930 |
FRA
2 - 3
CSK
32%
24%
45%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1930 |
CSK
1 - 1
HUN
63%
18%
19%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1930 |
CSK
2 - 2
AUT
58%
20%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1930 |
POR
1 - 0
CSK
40%
24%
36%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | -1 |