Belgium vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
20.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
BGR
3 - 0
BEL
49%
23%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1965 |
BRA
5 - 0
BEL
83%
11%
6%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1965 |
BEL
1 - 0
ISR
66%
18%
16%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1965 |
BEL
0 - 0
POL
62%
19%
19%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1965 |
IRL
0 - 2
BEL
55%
21%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
BGR
3 - 0
BEL
49%
23%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1965 |
BGR
3 - 2
DDR
59%
20%
21%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1965 |
BGR
4 - 0
ISR
57%
22%
21%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1965 |
POL
1 - 1
BGR
59%
21%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1965 |
BGR
4 - 1
TUR
51%
22%
28%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |