Belgium vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
42.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 1932 |
SWE
3 - 1
BEL
78%
12%
10%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1932 |
DEN
3 - 4
BEL
72%
15%
14%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1932 |
BEL
5 - 2
FRA
66%
16%
18%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1932 |
NED
2 - 1
BEL
64%
18%
18%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1932 |
BEL
1 - 4
NED
50%
20%
29%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1932 |
ENG
4 - 3
AUT
53%
20%
27%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1932 |
AUT
3 - 1
SUI
80%
12%
8%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1932 |
HUN
2 - 3
AUT
49%
20%
30%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 1932 |
SWE
3 - 4
AUT
54%
19%
27%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1932 |
CSK
1 - 1
AUT
51%
20%
29%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |