Belgium vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
37.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 1954 |
ITA
4 - 1
BEL
76%
14%
11%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1954 |
ENG
4 - 4
BEL
81%
11%
8%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1954 |
BEL
3 - 3
FRA
62%
18%
20%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1954 |
YUG
0 - 2
BEL
77%
13%
10%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
BEL
4 - 0
NED
69%
16%
16%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
SUI
3 - 5
GER
37%
22%
41%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1953 |
GER
0 - 0
AUT
69%
16%
16%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1952 |
ESP
2 - 2
GER
54%
20%
26%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1952 |
GER
5 - 1
SUI
82%
10%
7%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1952 |
FRA
3 - 1
GER
38%
22%
41%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | -1 |