Belgium vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
45.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1938 |
FRA
3 - 1
BEL
58%
19%
24%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1938 |
BEL
2 - 2
YUG
59%
19%
22%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1938 |
ITA
6 - 1
BEL
80%
12%
9%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1938 |
SUI
0 - 3
BEL
63%
17%
20%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 1938 |
BEL
1 - 1
NED
35%
21%
44%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1938 |
ROU
1 - 4
GER
42%
22%
36%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1938 |
GER
4 - 1
POL
71%
15%
14%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1938 |
SUI
4 - 2
GER
35%
22%
44%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 1938 |
SUI
1 - 1
GER
34%
22%
45%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1938 |
GER
3 - 6
ENG
50%
20%
30%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |