Belgium vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.1%
17.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1911 |
NED
3 - 1
BEL
69%
16%
15%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1911 |
BEL
1 - 5
NED
56%
20%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1910 |
GER
0 - 3
BEL
55%
20%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1910 |
NED
7 - 0
BEL
62%
19%
20%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1910 |
FRA
0 - 4
BEL
44%
22%
34%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1911 |
GER
2 - 2
ENG
36%
23%
41%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1911 |
GER
6 - 2
SUI
61%
20%
20%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1910 |
GER
1 - 2
NED
47%
22%
32%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1910 |
GER
0 - 3
BEL
55%
20%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1910 |
NED
4 - 2
GER
69%
16%
15%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |