Belgium vs Inglaterra Amateur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
95.2%
Win probability
4.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.5%
+10
0.5%
9-0
1.2%
10-1
0.2%
+9
1.4%
8-0
2.6%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
<0%
+8
3.1%
7-0
4.8%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.1%
+7
5.9%
6-0
7.9%
7-1
1.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
10%
5-0
11%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
14.6%
4-0
12.9%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
18.1%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
3.4%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
1.6%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
3.4%
1%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
0.4%
1-2
0.3%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
0.8%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1908 |
FRA
1 - 2
BEL
60%
20%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1908 |
BEL
1 - 4
NED
61%
19%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1907 |
NED
1 - 2
BEL
62%
19%
19%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1907 |
BEL
1 - 2
FRA
65%
18%
17%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1907 |
BEL
1 - 3
NED
66%
18%
17%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |