Austria vs Yugoslavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.5%
18%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 1954 |
AUT
3 - 1
URU
62%
18%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1954 |
BRD
6 - 1
AUT
51%
21%
28%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 1954 |
AUT
7 - 5
SUI
77%
13%
10%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1954 |
AUT
5 - 0
CSK
72%
15%
13%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 1954 |
AUT
1 - 0
SCO
64%
18%
18%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
PDS
1 - 5
YUG
47%
22%
32%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1954 |
WAL
1 - 3
YUG
40%
23%
38%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 1954 |
BRD
2 - 0
YUG
52%
21%
27%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 1954 |
BRA
1 - 1
YUG
67%
17%
16%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1954 |
YUG
1 - 0
FRA
75%
14%
12%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |