Austria vs Yugoslavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.7%
14.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1950 |
AUT
5 - 3
HUN
51%
20%
30%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1950 |
AUT
1 - 0
ITA
49%
21%
30%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1950 |
AUT
3 - 3
SUI
77%
13%
10%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
YUG
2 - 5
AUT
52%
20%
29%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
AUT
3 - 4
HUN
53%
20%
28%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1950 |
DEN
1 - 4
YUG
67%
16%
16%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1950 |
FIN
3 - 2
YUG
35%
21%
43%
|
79 | 52 | 27 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1950 |
SWE
1 - 2
YUG
80%
11%
9%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 1950 |
BRA
2 - 0
YUG
71%
15%
14%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 1950 |
YUG
4 - 1
MEX
62%
18%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |