Austria vs USSR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
29.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1983 |
AUT
0 - 0
BRD
32%
26%
42%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1982 |
AUT
4 - 0
TUR
83%
13%
4%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1982 |
AUT
2 - 0
NIR
78%
16%
6%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1982 |
AUT
5 - 0
ALB
91%
7%
2%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1982 |
AUT
2 - 2
NIR
81%
12%
7%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1983 |
SUN
5 - 0
POR
75%
17%
8%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1983 |
SUI
0 - 1
SUN
23%
28%
50%
|
92 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1983 |
FRA
1 - 1
SUN
38%
28%
34%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1982 |
SUN
2 - 0
FIN
86%
11%
3%
|
92 | 59 | 33 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1982 |
POL
0 - 0
SUN
59%
21%
20%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |