Austria vs USSR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
17.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1965 |
DDR
1 - 0
AUT
32%
24%
44%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1965 |
ENG
2 - 3
AUT
81%
12%
8%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1965 |
BRD
4 - 1
AUT
60%
20%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1965 |
HUN
3 - 0
AUT
85%
10%
6%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1965 |
AUT
0 - 1
HUN
31%
23%
47%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1966 |
SUI
2 - 2
SUN
42%
24%
34%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1966 |
CHI
0 - 2
SUN
53%
22%
25%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1965 |
URU
1 - 3
SUN
60%
21%
19%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1965 |
ARG
1 - 1
SUN
75%
16%
10%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1965 |
BRA
2 - 2
SUN
82%
12%
6%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | +1 |