Austria vs USSR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
14.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1964 |
AUT
3 - 2
YUG
43%
23%
34%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1964 |
AUT
0 - 2
URU
60%
19%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1964 |
AUT
1 - 0
HUN
29%
22%
50%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
NED
1 - 1
AUT
45%
22%
33%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1963 |
ITA
1 - 0
AUT
71%
16%
13%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 1964 |
DDR
4 - 1
SUN
24%
22%
54%
|
81 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1964 |
ESP
2 - 1
SUN
81%
12%
7%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1964 |
DEN
0 - 3
SUN
71%
16%
13%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1964 |
SUN
1 - 1
DDR
78%
13%
9%
|
81 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1964 |
DDR
1 - 1
SUN
23%
22%
55%
|
81 | 51 | 30 | 0 |