Austria vs Turkey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.3%
11%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1948 |
AUT
2 - 1
SWE
53%
20%
28%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1948 |
CSK
3 - 1
AUT
54%
20%
26%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
HUN
2 - 1
AUT
68%
16%
16%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1948 |
SWE
3 - 0
AUT
67%
16%
18%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 1948 |
SWE
3 - 2
AUT
67%
16%
18%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1948 |
TUR
2 - 1
GRC
65%
17%
19%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1948 |
TUR
1 - 3
YUG
54%
20%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 1948 |
TUR
4 - 0
CHN
54%
21%
26%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +2 |
| 30 May. 1948 |
TUR
0 - 1
AUT
36%
21%
42%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1948 |
GRC
1 - 3
TUR
44%
20%
36%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |