Austria vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
9.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1998 |
AUT
0 - 3
USA
63%
22%
15%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1998 |
AUT
2 - 3
HUN
58%
22%
20%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1997 |
AUT
4 - 0
BLR
90%
8%
3%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1997 |
BLR
0 - 1
AUT
14%
21%
65%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1997 |
AUT
1 - 0
SWE
32%
27%
41%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1998 |
TUN
1 - 1
GEO
65%
19%
16%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1998 |
BFA
1 - 1
TUN
24%
29%
47%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1998 |
TUN
3 - 1
TOG
75%
17%
9%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1998 |
TUN
2 - 1
COD
66%
21%
13%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1998 |
GHA
2 - 0
TUN
34%
30%
36%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |