Austria vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1986 |
ITA
2 - 1
AUT
64%
22%
14%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1985 |
ESP
0 - 0
AUT
60%
24%
17%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1985 |
AUT
0 - 3
YUG
51%
25%
25%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1985 |
AUT
4 - 0
CYP
95%
4%
1%
|
87 | 53 | 34 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1985 |
NED
1 - 1
AUT
62%
22%
16%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1986 |
SWE
0 - 0
GRC
70%
20%
10%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1985 |
MLT
1 - 2
SWE
1%
14%
85%
|
86 | 55 | 31 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1985 |
CSK
2 - 1
SWE
61%
22%
17%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1985 |
SWE
2 - 2
BRD
23%
26%
50%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1985 |
DEN
0 - 3
SWE
59%
22%
19%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |