Austria vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
27.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1957 |
AUT
4 - 0
SUI
78%
13%
10%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1957 |
AUT
2 - 3
GER
58%
19%
23%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1956 |
ITA
2 - 1
AUT
68%
17%
15%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
AUT
0 - 2
HUN
33%
20%
47%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
AUT
7 - 0
LUX
85%
9%
6%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
SWE
1 - 1
DEN
80%
12%
8%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
NOR
3 - 1
SWE
33%
22%
45%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 1956 |
SWE
2 - 2
GER
65%
17%
19%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 1956 |
ROU
0 - 2
SWE
36%
22%
43%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1956 |
FIN
1 - 3
SWE
31%
20%
49%
|
84 | 51 | 33 | 0 |